Decision summary
Türkiye was the conditional cost leader, but indicative claims awaiting allocation equaled 178% of the reviewed Q3 opening quota during the blocking period. China was the practical fallback: its reviewed queue signal was much lower, while freight and default-value CBAM increased the 20-tonne result.
The recommendation was not to place a purchase order. The next step was a parallel RFQ with DIBt-listed plants in Türkiye and China, followed by broker confirmation of quota treatment and exact plant evidence for DIN 488.
Why the ranking changed
| Origin | Base result | Transport | Main blocker | Decision |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Türkiye | €779/t | 5–8 day road planning window | Quota queue and allocation | Conditional lead |
| China | €851/t | 40–47 day port-to-port planning window | Freight, CBAM, long-length loading | Fallback / quote next |
| India | Not costed | Quote required | No comparable B500B/DIN 488 evidence basis found | Screened out |
Evidence discipline
Data cut: 9 July 2026. Supplier prices were public market-screening benchmarks, not executable quotations. Freight and handling were planning inputs. The report modeled German import VAT separately from economic cost and treated unresolved quota allocation as a decision blocker.
Primary sources
Official sources used to frame the guidance. Check the current product and transaction before acting.
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